, WHO sent a tweet which said "preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) identified in Wuhan, China". Ferguson believes the fatality rate is likely to be lower due to an "iceberg" of milder cases we are yet to find, but he highlights that novel viruses spread much faster through a population. Francia y España reportaron nuevos aumentos diarios más altos en casos de coronavirus desde que salieron del confinamiento. Viruses can spread from human contact with animals. Keywords: Contagion, Covid-19, Poisson autoregressive models Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation Agosto, Arianna and Giudici, Paolo, A Poisson Autoregressive Model to Understand COVID-19 Contagion Dynamics (March 9, 2020). , The WHO announces that its director-general has decided to reconvene their international health regulations emergency committee on 30 January to reconsider declaring a global health emergency, technically a "public health emergency of international concern" (PHEIC). , A consortium of Chinese medical experts charged by the Chinese CDC with investigating the inception of the virus published their report in The Lancet, reporting details of 41 first known patients. You may be able to reduce your risk of infection by avoiding people who are sick.  Later that day, after confirmation of the virus for the first three Vietnamese patients, the Prime Minister ordered for further visa restrictions apart from diplomatic work, suspension of activities at border gates (with China) which are still active, evacuation for citizens when necessary, and an emergency alert being considered. México ha reportado el tercer número más alto de muertes en el mundo por coronavirus, después de Estados Unidos y Brasil, según la Universidad Johns Hopkins.  The same day, the USCDC again updates its travel health notice to Warning – Level 3, Avoid All Nonessential Travel to China. Zhejiang and Tianjin reported five and two laboratory-confirmed cases, respectively. The lethality of the virus is unknown; however, the death toll has now climbed to above three per cent.  South Korea put a 36-year-old Chinese woman under isolated treatment amid concerns that she had brought back a form of viral pneumonia that had sickened dozens in mainland China and Hong Kong in the previous weeks. , Hubei's provincial representatives from all over the province met in Wuhan until 18 January.  The release of all seven major films for the Lunar New Year was practically cancelled.  Japan confirmed its third case. Haziran The Chinese nationals were tourists travelling to Armenia from neighbouring Georgia. , Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte stated in a press conference that Italy had closed all air traffic to and from China. , The Beijing and Shanghai governments have "urged residents returning from coronavirus outbreak areas to stay at home for 14 days to prevent its spread.". , On 14 January, two of the 41 confirmed cases in Wuhan were reported to include a married couple, raising the possibility of human-to-human transmission. Las tasas de hospitalización y unidad de cuidados intensivos también han bajado ligeramente. Additionally, all outbound trains and flights were halted.  Furthermore, many Wuhan residents bypassed the checkpoints by taking antipyretics, having seen tips shared on Sina Weibo. Africa: 1 986 273 cases; the five countries reporting most cases are South Africa (752 269), Morocco (296 189), Egypt (111 009), Ethiopia (103 056) and Tunisia (81 003). A new death was also reported in Wuhan, bringing the total number of fatalities in China to three.  Additionally, flights from mainland China would be cut in half, cross-border bus services reduced, and the Hong Kong government is asking all its employees (except those providing essential or emergency services) to work from home. , US consulate in Wuhan was closed and all US diplomats were "under ordered departure".  In the Consortium's report of 24 January 2020, it was stated that the Huanan Seafood Market had been closed on 1 January 2020 for "cleaning and disinfection.  These cases linked to the meeting were the first evidence that the Wuhan coronavirus had spread through human-to-human contact outside China, which the WHO has said is deeply concerning and could signal evidence of a much larger outbreak. El Ministerio de Economía de Brasil habló de reducir la cantidad a 200 reales (36 dólares) al mes, dijo Bolsonaro, pero el presidente dijo que cree que la cantidad es demasiado baja y sugirió que se alcance un acuerdo en algún punto intermedio. , The leading group on the prevention and control of the novel coronavirus outbreak was established, led by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang. In addition, due to the unavailability of date-of-onset data and different testing policies per country, this figure might not be reflective of the evolution of the epidemic.  Anhui reported six additional laboratory-confirmed cases. , Singapore announced a suspension from 29 January, 12pm of entry or transit for all new visitors with a recent travel history to Hubei within the last 14 days, or holders of China passports issued in Hubei. , Early investigations into the cause of the pneumonia ruled out seasonal flu, SARS, MERS and bird flu. 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Korea reports 1st confirmed case of China coronavirus", "Wuhan virus: China announces more confirmed cases, including in Shanghai and Guangdong", "Coronavirus Is Spreading Quickly Across China as Confirmed Cases Triple", "China confirms new coronavirus can spread between humans", "Vaccine for new Chinese coronavirus in the works", "Another South Korean at Singapore work conference infected with coronavirus | The Star Online", "Coronavirus: Two new local infections in Singapore confirmed", "WHO probes Singapore meet linked to spread of virus", "Singapore confirms first case of Wuhan virus; second case likely", "Coronavirus: Malaysia confirms human transmission arising from Singapore meeting", "青岛市疑似新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎病例被国家卫健委确认为确诊病例_大风号_凤凰网", "Wuhan authorities report fourth death from coronavirus outbreak", "Cases of deadly coronavirus spike as officials confirm human-to-human spread", "CDC confirms first US case of Wuhan coronavirus", "China's Wuhan Institute Files to Patent the Use of Gilead's Remdesivir for Coronavirus", "UN health agency to gauge global threat, as China confirms coronavirus transmission between humans", "消息指曾赴武漢抵港內地男 初步確診新型冠狀病毒 | 新聞 – Yahoo雅虎香港", "China coronavirus: Hong Kong reports second case of infection hours after first", "安徽省报告首例新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎确诊病例 – 工作动态 – 安徽省卫生健康委员会", "国家卫生健康委确认我区首例输入性新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎确诊病例-宁夏回族自治区卫生健康委员会", "Wuhan virus: 2 more cases confirmed in Thailand", "A terrifying graph shows how fast the Wuhan virus has spread so far and how close it is to becoming a pandemic", "China's coronavirus could have same death rate as Spanish flu outbreak in the UK", "Public transportation such as bus, subway, ferry and long-distance bus in Wuhan will be temporarily closed...", "Wuhan mayor admits 'withholding' information about outbreak, scientists fear 100,000 have already been infected", "Wuhan mayor under pressure to resign over response to virus outbreak", "Health Alert Update – Novel Coronavirus in China-Level 2", "Full interview: President Trump discusses trade, impeachment, Boeing and Elon Musk with CNBC in Davos", "UN health emergency committee to re-convene on global threat posed by China coronavirus", "江苏省卫生健康委员会 要闻动态 国家卫生健康委确认苏州一例新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎确诊病例", "23 January 2020 新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情情况_部门政务_中国政府网", "Macau confirms second patient infected with Wuhan virus", "Singapore confirms first case of Wuhan virus", "Vietnam confirms first acute pneumonia cases from Wuhan virus", "Importation and Human-to-Human Transmission of a Novel Coronavirus in Vietnam", "A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin", "The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak", "Coronavirus: 'An emergency in China, but not yet a global health emergency, "Scientists have been sounding the alarm on coronavirus for months. Coronaviruses are a large group of viruses that are common among animals, The viruses can make people sick, usually with a mild to moderate. ", On 1 January 2020, a genetic sequencing company was notified by the Wuhan Municipal Health Committee that further sequencing of novel coronavirus samples were no longer allowed, existing samples must be destroyed and all data must be kept secret. He had not visited the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, but possibly had close contact with an affected person in Wuhan. Find latest updates on global humanitarian responses, Le nouveau Fonds pour l'assainissement et l'hygiène permettra d’accroître les investissements, selon l’ONU, Third Committee Approves 11 Drafts, among Them 4 Covering Women’s Rights, Omnibus Text on High Commissioner for Refugees Report, as Myriad Amendments Fail to Pass, UN-backed fund to address crisis in global sanitation and hygiene, Even the smallest question should be answered. The letter stated, "We solemnly warn you: If you keep being stubborn, with such impertinence, and continue this illegal activity, you will be brought to justice—is that understood?" , Macau announced it would postpone schools indefinitely and that schools should contact students to arrange for assignments to be done online. PAHO; WHO; Posted 27 Aug 2020 … He said he would resign if it helped with public opinion but pointed out the local government was obliged to seek permission before fully disclosing information about the virus, and that their response had since become "tougher than others". La designación de trabajador esencial proporciona orientación para los educadores que es solo voluntaria; pide a los maestros que regresen al aula incluso después de una posible exposición.  In Wuhan, construction began near midnight for a specialist emergency hospital, modelled after the Xiaotangshan Hospital during the 2003 SARS outbreak in Beijing, after it was proposed earlier in the afternoon. The average age is people 40 or over, he said. "Exclusive: U.S. axed CDC expert job in China months before virus outbreak". , The United States and South Korea each reported their first confirmed case of the coronavirus to the World Health Organization on 20 Jan. US CDC developed its own testing kit after China shared the genetic sequence on 10 Jan and deployed it to detect the first coronavirus case. As of 25 January, three of the six groups began their work in the virus-hit area.  Fujian reported four additional laboratory-confirmed cases. ECDC risk assessments aim at supporting the EU/EEA countries and the European Commission in their preparedness and response to a public health threat.  The Government of Canada also issued a regional travel advisory to avoid all travel to the Province of Hubei—including the cities of Wuhan, Huanggang and Ezhou—due to the imposition of heavy travel restrictions to limit the spread of the novel coronavirus. If society had at the time believed those 'rumours', and wore masks, used disinfectant and avoided going to the wildlife market as if there were a SARS outbreak, perhaps it will help us better control the coronavirus today". by touching something an infected person has touched.  Malaysia confirms three additional cases, bringing its total to seven. Pandemic chronology.  Six thousand people are briefly quarantined on board an Italian cruise ship as tests are carried out on two Chinese passengers suspected of having coronavirus, a spokesman for the Costa Crociere cruise company said. , Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, the facility that published the first genome sequence of the virus, was closed without reason. , Since the outburst of social media discussion of the mysterious pneumonia outbreak in Wuhan, China, Chinese authorities censored the hashtag #WuhanSARS and were now investigating anyone who was allegedly spreading misleading information about the outbreak on social media. , Air France and KLM cancel all flights to mainland China until 9 February. Li Yang Hsu, Po Ying Chia, and Jeremy FY Lim.  The first laboratory-confirmed case in Singapore of an unrelated 67-year-old native of Wuhan was not reported until 23 January 2020. Chinese police drop their case against eight people, accused on 1 January of spreading "false rumours" about a "new SARS-like virus"; they have been referred to as "the eight brave (八勇士)" on some Chinese social media.  According to Reuters in Geneva, WHO said there may have been limited human-to-human transmission of a new coronavirus in China within families, and it is possible there could be a wider outbreak. By Jen Christensen and Meera Senthilingam, CNN, Updated 1016 GMT (1816 HKT) February 18, 2020.  Thailand added two new cases for a total of seven. America: 684 602 deaths; the five countries reporting most deaths are United States (247 220), Brazil (166 014), Mexico (98 861), Argentina (35 727) and Peru (35 271).  Guizhou, Fujian, Anhui, Shanxi and Ningxia reported one laboratory-confirmed case each. Zhejiang and Jiangxi reported an additional five and one laboratory-confirmed cases, respectively. According to information reported by the South China Morning Post on 13 March 2020, in a retrospective study, Chinese authorities identified 266 people who had been infected before the beginning of 2020. , Trump administration trade advisor Peter Navarro issued a memo warning that coronavirus could "evolv[e] into a full-blown pandemic, imperiling the lives of millions of Americans" and that the "risk of a worst-case pandemic scenario should not be overlooked". , CapitaLand temporarily shuts all four malls in Wuhan and both malls in Xian after instructions from local authorities, with supermarkets still open. All persons entering Jamaica from China will be subject to immediate quarantine for at least 14 days, and anyone who was allowed to land and shows symptoms of the virus will be put in immediate isolation. También se confirmaron 11.541 nuevos casos, por lo que sube el total a 513.718. The originally-infected individual is from Shanghai. , Wuhan suspends visa and passports services for Chinese citizens until 30 January. , Jamaica's health minister, Christopher Tufton, announced a government decision to ban travel between China and Jamaica. , The Panamanian government has enhanced its sanitary control and screening measures at all ports of entry, to prevent the spread of the virus, isolating and testing potential cases. , On 2 January 2020, Central Hospital of Wuhan banned its staffs from discussing the disease publicly or recording them using text or image that can be used as evidence; situation of individual patients can only be mentioned verbally when doctors change shift. In a later press conference, Carrie Lam said that the Man Kam To and Sha Tau Kok border checkpoints would be closed.  Leung estimated that there were between 44,000 and 100,000 infections in China as of 24 January 2020. Los funcionarios de la Casa Blanca tomaron la decisión en parte para transmitir cuán seriamente creen que se debe tomar la cuestión de las escuelas, señaló la persona, pero también para tratar de estabilizar la fuerza laboral docente y optimizar la orientación en un momento de confusión sobre el futuro de las aulas. , The seven provinces, two autonomous regions, and all four municipalities of Hubei, Anhui, Tianjin, Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Sichuan, Jiangxi, Yunnan, Shandong, Fujian, Guangxi, and Hebei declared a level 1 public health emergency, in chronological order. , The National Library of Medicine began collection of website and social media reporting of the virus outbreak as part of its Global Health Events archiving. Según la Universidad Johns Hopkins, ahora se sitúa en 5.802. Coronavirus outbreak shows no sign of slowing down, See British diplomat rescue drowning student in China, Video shows Belarus police beating protesters inside supermarket, Listen to the Korean music craze with an army of senior superfans, Al Qaeda leader dead after mysterious murder in Tehran, How US policy toward North Korea may change under Biden, 8 killed, including 6 US citizens, in helicopter crash in Egypt. You may use the data in line with ECDC’s copyright policy.  The three provinces of Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Hunan declared a level 1 public health emergency (the highest possible) in chronological order.  At least two people had become infected whilst living hundreds of miles from Wuhan. The number of deaths in Europe was less than the negative numbers reported by Spain that day. The decision was preceded by a meeting between security and immigration authorities of two countries earlier that day. MERS, SARS and the Wuhan coronavirus appear to cause more severe disease in older people, though uncertainty remains around the latest outbreak. In accordance with the law provided, administrative punishment and even criminal punishment can be justified for the act of fabricating and disseminating false information. The decision was declared by the head of Lào Cai Department of Culture, Sports and Tourism, after an urgent notice from Yunnan Province's authorities. On 10 September 2020, Jersey reclassified nine cases as old infections resulting in negative cases reported on 11 September 2020. Wenliang tested negative several times for the coronavirus until finally testing positive on 30 January 2020. Mr. Azar, Dr. Redfield and Dr. Anthony S. Fauci agreed that a ban on travel from the epidemic's center could buy some time to put into place prevention and testing measures.  The same day, Public Health England issued its guidance. (27 February 2020). From end of August 2020, Swedish authorities are performing daily data consolidation leading to data retro-corrections. , Flights in and out of North Korea were halted.  In an example of black humor, Plague Inc., which was released in 2012, surged to become the most popular app in China.  On the same day, the Minister of Foreign Affairs François-Philippe Champagne announced that an aircraft would be sent to repatriate Canadians from the areas affected by the novel coronavirus in China. , Chinese scientists at the National Institute of Viral Disease Control and Prevention (IVDC) ruled out the possibilities for 26 common respiratory pathogens, including influenza A and B virus, parainfluenza virus, adenovirus, respiratory syncytial virus metapneumovirus rhinovirus, enterovirus, and other common respiratory viruses. Additionally, all outbound trains and flights were halted. , The Brazilian Ministry of Health reports three suspected cases ongoing in three locations: Belo Horizonte (MG), Curitiba (PR) and São Leopoldo (RS).  Hong Kong extends the public holiday to 2 March, and also requests all visitors who have been in Hubei in the past 14 days to be quarantined. ", US HHS Secretary Alex Azar spoke to Trump on the phone about the virus, while which Trump interjected to ask when flavoured vaping products would be back on the market. Other centres were unaffected.. The incident was reported in China by the health commission via Chinese state media on 11 January. A Warner Media Company. , After 300 confirmed diagnoses and 6 deaths, Chinese state media warned lower-level officials not to cover up the spread of a new coronavirus.  The Ministry of Public Security temporarily ceased issuing visa to Chinese citizens within the epidemic areas.  France reported its first three confirmed cases, the first occurrences in the EU. "Opinion:The Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Epidemic".  On the same day, Thailand witnessed the first confirmed case of 2019-nCoV, the first outside China. Francia confirmó un nuevo récord diario de casos de coronavirus desde que salió del confinamiento a mediados de mayo, con 3.776 infecciones reportadas por la Agencia Nacional de Salud el miércoles.  The WHO published initial guidance on travel advice, testing in the laboratory and medical investigation. Tras el aumento en el número de nuevos casos de covid-19, el gobierno francés hará obligatorio el uso de mascarillas en espacios compartidos cerrados como oficinas corporativas a partir del 1 de septiembre, anunció el martes la ministra de Trabajo Elisabeth Borne. , Five attendees of an as-yet-unnamed private international sales company meeting of 109 attendees, 94 from overseas, held from 20 to 22 January at the Grand Hyatt Hotel, Singapore were diagnosed with the coronavirus upon returning home: one from Malaysia, two from South Korea and two from Singapore. It was reported that the company held a buffet for their delegates. Xi Jinping, general secretary of the CPC Central Committee, stated that the country is facing a "grave situation" as the number of infected people is accelerating. , Hong Kong temporarily closes four of the eleven ports with the Mainland. Data completeness depends on the availability of information from the affected areas. , After the first 41 laboratory-confirmed cases were identified on 2 January 2020, Chinese officials announced no new cases for the next 16 days, then reported 17 additional laboratory-confirmed cases, three of which were in critical condition. [excessive citations] Hainan reported four laboratory-confirmed cases. She had arrived in Bangkok on 8 January. Patients to date have typically experienced a mild cough for a week followed by shortness of breath, causing them to visit the hospital, explains Peter Horby, professor of emerging infectious diseases and global health at the University of Oxford. , Scientists from the China CDC identified three different strains of the 2019-nCoV, confirming that the original Wuhan coronavirus had mutated into two additional strains. España reportó 3.715 nuevas infecciones por coronavirus en el último día, dijo el miércoles el Ministerio de Salud, lo que marca el mayor aumento en los casos diarios desde el final del confinamiento del país a fines de junio.